8-K
Real Good Food Company, Inc. false 0001871149 0001871149 2023-10-10 2023-10-10

 

 

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

WASHINGTON, D.C. 20549

 

 

FORM 8-K

 

 

CURRENT REPORT

PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d)

OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934

Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported) October 10, 2023

 

 

THE REAL GOOD FOOD COMPANY, INC.

(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)

 

 

 

Delaware   001-41025   87-1280343
(State or other jurisdiction
of incorporation)
 

(Commission

File Number)

  (I.R.S. Employer
Identification Number)

3 Executive Campus, Suite 155

Cherry Hill, NJ 08002

(Address of Principal Executive Offices; Zip Code)

(856) 644-5624

(Registrant’s telephone number, including area code)

Not applicable

(Former name or former address, if changed since last report)

 

 

Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions:

 

Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)

 

Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)

 

Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))

 

Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:

 

Title of Each Class

 

Trading
Symbol(s)

 

Name of Each Exchange

on which Registered

Class A common stock $0.0001 par value per share   RGF   Nasdaq Global Market

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§240.12b-2 of this chapter).

Emerging Growth Company 

If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act. 

 

 

 


ITEM 2.02

RESULTS OF OPERATIONS AND FINANCIAL CONDITION.

On October 10, 2023, The Real Good Food Company, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing certain preliminary unaudited financial results for the Company’s third quarter ended September 30, 2023, updated guidance for certain financial information for the third and fourth quarters of 2023 and the full year 2023, new guidance for certain financial information for the 2024 fiscal year, along with certain other performance metrics. A copy of the press release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1.

The information in this Item 2.02, including the information in Exhibit 99.1, is furnished solely pursuant to Item 2.02 of this Form 8-K and shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of, or otherwise regarded as filed under, the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), nor shall it be deemed incorporated by reference into any filing by the Company under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Exchange Act, except as shall be expressly set forth by specific reference in such filing.

 

ITEM 8.01

OTHER EVENTS.

Preliminary Third Fiscal Quarter 2023 Results

For the three months ended September 30, 2023, the Company’s preliminary estimated net sales are expected to be between $55 million and $57 million, an increase in the range of approximately $17.5 million to $19.5 million, or 46% to 52% as compared to net sales of $37.6 million for the three months ended September 30, 2022. This is lower than the Company’s previously announced guidance for the third quarter 2023 of expected net sales of $60 million to $65 million. The Company’s sales growth was not able to keep up with consumption growth in the quarter owing to the sharper than expected increase in consumption and it being more heavily weighted towards the back end of the quarter than expected. For the three months ended September 30, 2023, total consumption of the Company’s branded products increased by 90% year over year and 76% quarter over quarter, outpacing shipment growth of 50% and 58% over the corresponding period, respectively. This gap between consumption and shipment growth was the largest in the Company’s history, and as a result, retailer inventories are low at the end of the quarter. In addition, customer order activity was more heavily weighted toward the back-end of the quarter with open orders in September 2023 representing a three times increase over July 2023.

For the three months ended September 30, 2023, the Company’s preliminary estimated adjusted gross margin is expected to increase by 7% to 11% year over year as a result of improved plant operating efficiency, lower labor costs, and, to a lesser extent, a decline in certain commodity prices. In addition, the Company’s preliminary estimated adjusted EBITDA for the three months ended September 30, 2023 is expected to be between $0 million and $2 million, an increase compared to a loss of $3.8 million for the three months ended September 30, 2022.

For the three months ended September 30, 2023, the Company’s preliminary estimated cash flow before debt service is expected to be $(2.2) million, an $8.6 million improvement as compared to the corresponding period in 2022. In addition, the Company also estimates that, as of September 30, 2023, it will have a cash balance of approximately $2 million.

The Company’s liquidity required for growth declined throughout the quarter as the Company dealt with several one-off matters, including:

 

   

industry-wide contraction in trade terms from certain key vendors;

 

   

temporary increases in chicken prices during the third quarter; and

 

   

an increase in working capital balances at the end of the quarter as a material portion of third quarter sales were realized in September 2023, resulting in increased account receivables balances that the Company currently expects to collect in early in the fourth quarter of 2023.

The estimated results as of and for the three months ended September 30, 2023 are preliminary, unaudited and subject to completion, reflect management’s current views and may change as a result of management’s review of results and other factors, including a wide variety of significant business, economic and competitive risks and uncertainties. Such preliminary results are subject to the closing of the third fiscal quarter of 2023 and finalization of financial and accounting procedures (which have yet to be performed) and should not be viewed as a substitute for full quarterly financial statements prepared in accordance with U.S. generally accepted account principles (“GAAP”). Consequently, we have provided ranges, rather than specific amounts, for the


preliminary results primarily because our financial closing procedures for the three months ended September 30, 2023 are not yet complete, and as a result, our results upon completion of our closing procedures may vary from the preliminary estimates. We caution you that the estimates of revenue are forward-looking statements and are not guarantees of future performance or outcomes and that actual results may differ materially from those described above. See sections titled “Cautionary Note Regarding Forward-Looking Statements” and “Risk Factors” in the Company’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2022, and other risks and uncertainties listed from time to time in the Company’s other filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (the “SEC”) for additional information regarding factors that could result in differences between the preliminary estimated ranges of certain of our unaudited financial data and the actual unaudited financial data that we will report for the three months ended September 30, 2023.

Neither our independent registered public accounting firm nor any other independent registered public accounting firm has audited, reviewed or compiled, examined or performed any procedures with respect to the estimated results, nor have they expressed any opinion or any other form of assurance on the estimated results.

The Company expects to publicly report its final consolidated financial statements and related notes as of and for the quarter ended September 30, 2023 in November 2023. The Company’s actual results may differ materially from the estimates above. These estimates should not be viewed as a substitute for full audited or interim financial statements prepared in accordance with GAAP.

Outlook

The Company is updating its guidance for three months and full year ending December 31, 2023:

 

   

Net sales for the three months ending December 31, 2023 are expected to be $65 million to $72 million (down from the previously disclosed guidance of $70 million and $77 million) or approximately 83% to 102% growth as compared to the corresponding quarter in 2022

 

   

Adjusted EBITDA for the three months ending December 31, 2023 is expected to be $4 million to $6 million

 

   

Net sales for the year ending December 31, 2023 are expected to be $185 to $194 million (down from the previously disclosed guidance of at least $200 million) or approximately 31% to 37% growth as compared to 2022

 

   

Adjusted gross margin for the year ending December 31, 2023 is expected to be at least 24%, which is in line with the Company’s prior guidance

 

   

Adjusted EBITDA for the year ending December 31, 2023 is expected to be in the low-to-mid single-digit millions range (down from previously disclosed guidance of mid-to-high single-digit millions range)

The Company is also providing preliminary guidance for the year ending December 31, 2024:

 

   

Net sales of at least $245 million

 

   

Adjusted gross margin increasing 1% to 2% as compared to 2023

 

   

Adjusted EBITDA of at least $15 million

Long-term, the Company continues to expect:

 

   

Net sales of approximately $500 million

 

   

Adjusted gross margin of 35%

 

   

Adjusted EBITDA margin of 15%

In addition, the Company currently expects to reach positive operating cash flow beginning in the fourth quarter of 2023 and to carry that trend forward into 2024.

The Company is not providing guidance for gross margin or net loss, the most directly comparable GAAP measures, and similarly cannot provide a reconciliation between its forecasted adjusted gross margin and GAAP gross margin and adjusted EBITDA and net loss without unreasonable effort due to the unavailability of reliable estimates for certain items. These items are not within the Company’s control, may vary significantly between periods and could significantly impact future financial results. We caution you that these estimates are forward-looking statements and are not guarantees of future performance or outcomes and that actual results may differ materially from those described above. See sections titled “Cautionary Note Regarding Forward-Looking Statements” and “Risk Factors” in the Company’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2022, and other risks and uncertainties listed from time to time in the Company’s other filings with the SEC for


additional information regarding factors that could result in differences between these forward-looking statements and our actual results. The Company does not assume any obligation to publicly update or supplement any forward-looking statement to reflect actual results, changes in assumptions or changes in other factors affecting these forward-looking statements other than as required by law. The guidance provided is only an estimate of what the Company believes is realizable as of the date of this report, and any forward-looking statements speak only as of the date hereof.

Corporate and Market Updates

In addition to the information related to its preliminary estimated third quarter 2023 results and guidance on certain financial information, the Company provides the following corporate updates:

Refrigerated Entrees

 

   

The Company plans to extend further into the refrigerated foods category by expanding into the refrigerated entrees category, following existing demand of its Flautas and Burritos products. According to IRI information, net sales for our Flautas and Burritos products had an annual run rate of $58 million, for the club channel for the 13-week period ended September 30, 2023. In addition, according to IRI information, Flautas and Burritos achieved net sales of $1,715 and $2,002 per club per week for the nine months ended September 30, 2023

 

   

The Company’s sales pipeline for new refrigerated entrée items includes three items in club, which are pending commercialization, and six items in grocery that are already commercialized

 

   

According to SPINS information, the refrigerated entrees category represents a $4 billion market (with the refrigerated proteins sub-category making up approximately $1 billion), which the Company currently believes can provide $50 million in incremental revenue opportunity

Frozen Poultry

 

   

The Company had a successful launch of its Breaded Poultry. According to SPINS information, net sales for our Breaded Poultry products had a run rate of $133 million, for the club and measured channels for the 13-week period ended October 1, 2023, and has the #1 best selling velocity item in the “HWI” Frozen Meat, Poultry & Seafood sector at a large national mass retail customer according to SPINS data for 4-week period ending September 10, 2023

 

   

The Company believes its Breaded Poultry has the potential to be the #3 ranked breaded poultry brand in all commodities volume by the end of 2024; as such, the Company currently believes this will provide a $100 million sales opportunity, as a national mass retailer has indicated it will be putting new the Company’s Seasoned Chicken Breast Nuggets on the shelf in June 2024

Frozen Seafood

 

   

The Company plans to expand into the Frozen Seafood category with RGF Breaded Fish, and possibly to expand Frozen Poultry with RGF Seasoned Nuggets & Strips

 

   

According to SPINS information, net sales for the Frozen Seafood and the Frozen Poultry categories were $7 billion and $7.3 billion market, respectively, for the 52-week period ended September 10, 2023. The Company currently estimates that these markets could each yield an opportunity for at least a $100 million in sales in the future.

 

   

Accordingly, based on the products already on the shelf and the Company’s new products with shipment authorizations, the Company has a strategy to reach $300 million in annual run-rate revenue by the end of 2024 based on the Company’s currently estimated sales for the second half of 2024.

Other Corporate Updates

 

   

The Company has expanded production capacity at its Bolingbrook facility, which, combined with its City of Industry facility, is expected to support $450 million in annual sales.

 

   

The Company is currently evaluating multiple prospective financing arrangements to refinance its existing loan facility with PMC Financial Services Group, LLC (“PMC”) in order to enhance its liquidity. As of September 30, 2023, the Credit Facility provides the Company with a $80.0 million line of credit repayable on November 30, 2025 and includes


 

an $8.1 million capital expenditure term loan and $20.0 million term loan, each of which matures on August 31, 2028. The Company’s ability to refinance the Credit Facility depends on whether it can access adequate financing. Changes in the debt and equity markets, including market disruptions, limited liquidity, and interest rate volatility, may limit the Company’s access to financing, increase the cost of financing and adversely impact our ability to refinance the Credit Facility. In addition, any such refinancing may include the incurrence of subordinated debt or the issuance of equity and/or equity-like instruments. Accordingly, there is no guarantee that the Company will be successful in refinancing the Credit Facility.

 

   

In September 2023, the Company received a voluntary request for information and documents from the SEC. The Company is fully cooperating with the SEC.

Industry and Market Data

This report contains statistical data, estimates, and forecasts that are based on various sources, including independent industry publications and other publicly available information, as well as other information based on the Company’s internal sources. This information involves a number of assumptions and limitations, and you are cautioned not to give undue weight to these data, estimates, and forecasts. The Company has not independently verified the accuracy or completeness of the data contained in these industry publications and other publicly available information. The industry and market data are subject to a variety of risks and uncertainties, including those described in the risk factors in our most recent Annual Report on Form 10-K and any subsequent Quarterly Reports on Form 10-Q or Current Reports on Form 8-K or other filings with the SEC, which could cause results to differ materially from those expressed in these publications and reports. Certain information in the text of this report is from industry data sources and publicly available data and reports, including from SPINS, LLC (“SPINS”) and Information Resources, Inc. (“IRI”), which are independent industry and research organizations. The content of such sources, except to the extent specifically set forth in this report, does not constitute a portion of this report and is not incorporated herein.

Forward-Looking Statements

Statements contained in this report regarding matters that are not historical facts are “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These forward-looking statements include, without limitation, statements related to the Company’s expectations and its outlook relating to guidance for three months and full year ending December 31, 2023 and preliminary guidance for the year ending December 31, 2024. Statements regarding the Company’s future results of operations and financial position, business strategy, and plans and objectives of management for future operations, including, among others, statements regarding expected growth, market-potential, future capital expenditures, and debt service obligations, are forward-looking statements. In some cases, identify forward-looking statements can be identified by terms, such as “may,” “will,” “should,” “expects,” “plans,” “anticipates,” “could,” “intends,” “targets,” “projects,” “contemplates,” “believes,” “estimates,” “predicts,” “potential,” “guidance,” “outlook,” or “continue,” or the negative of these terms or other similar expressions. Accordingly, the Company cautions that any such forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and are subject to risks, assumptions, and uncertainties that are difficult to predict. The Company has based these forward-looking statements largely on its current expectations, projections and outlook about future events and trends that it believes may affect the Company’s financial condition, results of operations, business strategy, short term and long-term business operations and objectives, and financial needs. Although management believes that the expectations reflected in these forward-looking statements are reasonable as of the date made, actual results may prove to be materially different from the results expressed or implied by the forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements are subject to a number of risks, uncertainties and the factors described in the risk factors in our most recent Annual Report on Form 10-K and any subsequent Quarterly Reports on Form 10-Q or Current Reports on Form 8-K or other filings with the SEC. In light of the significant uncertainties in these forward-looking statements, such forward-looking statements should not be relied upon as predictions of future events. Except as required by law, the Company undertakes no obligation to update publicly any forward-looking statements for any reason.


ITEM 9.01

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS AND EXHIBITS.

(d) Exhibits.

 

Exhibit
Number
   Description
99.1    Press Release, dated October 10, 2023.
104    Cover Page Interactive Data File (embedded within the inline XRBL document).


SIGNATURE

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, the Registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.

 

    THE REAL GOOD FOOD COMPANY, INC.
Date: October 10, 2023     By:  

/s/ Gerard G. Law

      Gerard G. Law
      Chief Executive Officer
EX-99.1

Exhibit 99.1

 

LOGO

The Real Good Food Company Reports Preliminary Third Quarter 2023 Financial Results and

Provides Preliminary 2023 and 2024 Outlook

CHERRY HILL, N.J., October 10, 2023 The Real Good Food Company, Inc. (Nasdaq: RGF) (“Real Good Foods” or the “Company”), an innovative, high-growth, branded, health- and wellness-focused frozen food company, today reported preliminary financial results for its third quarter ended September 30, 2022.

Management Commentary

Third Quarter 2023 Highlights

 

   

Preliminary net sales in the third quarter are expected to increase in the range of 46% and 52%, as compared to the same quarter last year, to a range of $55 million and $57 million.

 

   

Preliminary estimated adjusted gross margin is expected to increase by 7% to 11% year over year.

 

   

Preliminary Adjusted EBITDA in the third quarter is expected to increase in the range of $0 million and $2 million, as compared to a loss of $3.8 million for the same quarter last year.

Preliminary Financial Results for the Quarter Ended September 30, 2023

For the three months ended September 30, 2023, the Company’s preliminary estimated net sales are expected to be between $55 million and $57 million, an increase in the range of approximately $17.5 million to $19.5 million, or 46% to 52% as compared to net sales of $37.6 million for the three months ended September 30, 2022. This is lower than the Company’s previously announced guidance for the third quarter 2023 of expected net sales of $60 million to $65 million. The Company’s sales growth was not able to keep up with consumption growth in the quarter owing to the sharper than expected increase in consumption and it being more heavily weighted towards the back end of the quarter than expected. For the three months ended September 30, 2023, total consumption of the Company’s branded products increased by 90% year over year and 76% quarter over quarter, outpacing shipment growth of 50% and 58% over the corresponding period, respectively. This gap between consumption and shipment growth was the largest in the Company’s history, and as a result, retailer inventories are low at the end of the quarter. In addition, customer order activity was more heavily weighted toward the back-end of the quarter with open orders in September 2023 representing a three times increase over July 2023.

For the three months ended September 30, 2023, the Company’s preliminary estimated adjusted gross margin is expected to increase by 7% to 11% year over year as a result of improved plant operating efficiency, lower labor costs, and, to a lesser extent, a decline in certain commodity prices. In addition, the Company’s preliminary estimated adjusted EBITDA for the three months ended September 30, 2023 is expected to be between $0 million and $2 million, an increase compared to a loss of $3.8 million for the three months ended September 30, 2022.

 

1


For the three months ended September 30, 2023, the Company’s preliminary estimated cash flow before debt service is expected to be $(2.2) million, an $8.6 million improvement as compared to the corresponding period in 2022. In addition, the Company also estimates that, as of September 30, 2023, it will have a cash balance of approximately $2 million.

The Company’s liquidity required for growth declined throughout the quarter as the Company dealt with several one-off matters, including:

 

   

industry-wide contraction in trade terms from certain key vendors;

 

   

temporary increases in chicken prices during the third quarter; and

 

   

an increase in working capital balances at the end of the quarter as a material portion of third quarter sales were realized in September 2023, resulting in increased account receivables balances that the Company currently expects to collect in early in the fourth quarter of 2023.

The estimated results as of and for the three months ended September 30, 2023 are preliminary, unaudited and subject to completion, reflect management’s current views and may change as a result of management’s review of results and other factors, including a wide variety of significant business, economic and competitive risks and uncertainties. Such preliminary results are subject to the closing of the third fiscal quarter of 2023 and finalization of financial and accounting procedures (which have yet to be performed) and should not be viewed as a substitute for full quarterly financial statements prepared in accordance with U.S. generally accepted account principles (“GAAP”). Consequently, we have provided ranges, rather than specific amounts, for the preliminary results primarily because our financial closing procedures for the three months ended September 30, 2023 are not yet complete, and as a result, our results upon completion of our closing procedures may vary from the preliminary estimates. We caution you that the estimates of revenue are forward-looking statements and are not guarantees of future performance or outcomes and that actual results may differ materially from those described above. See sections titled “Cautionary Note Regarding Forward-Looking Statements” and “Risk Factors” in the Company’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2022, and other risks and uncertainties listed from time to time in the Company’s other filings with the SEC for additional information regarding factors that could result in differences between the preliminary estimated ranges of certain of our unaudited financial data and the actual unaudited financial data that we will report for the three months ended September 30, 2023.

Neither our independent registered public accounting firm nor any other independent registered public accounting firm has audited, reviewed or compiled, examined or performed any procedures with respect to the estimated results, nor have they expressed any opinion or any other form of assurance on the estimated results.

The Company expects to publicly report its final consolidated financial statements and related notes as of and for the quarter ended September 30, 2023 in November 2023. The Company’s actual results may differ materially from the estimates above. These estimates should not be viewed as a substitute for full audited or interim financial statements prepared in accordance with GAAP.

 

2


Outlook

The Company is updating its guidance for three months and full year ending December 31, 2023:

 

   

Net sales for the three months ending December 31, 2023 are expected to be $65 million to $72 million (down from the previously disclosed guidance of $70 million and $77 million) or approximately 83% to 102% growth as compared to the corresponding quarter in 2022

 

   

Adjusted EBITDA for the three months ending December 31, 2023 is expected to be $4 million to $6 million

 

   

Net sales for the year ending December 31, 2023 are expected to be $185 to $194 million (down from the previously disclosed guidance of at least $200 million) or approximately 31% to 37% growth as compared to 2022

 

   

Adjusted gross margin for the year ending December 31, 2023 is expected to be at least 24%, which is in line with the Company’s prior guidance

 

   

Adjusted EBITDA for the year ending December 31, 2023 is expected to be in the low-to-mid single-digit millions range (down from previously disclosed guidance of mid-to-high single-digit millions range)

The Company is also providing preliminary guidance for the year ending December 31, 2024:

 

   

Net sales of at least $245 million

 

   

Adjusted gross margin increasing 1% to 2% as compared to 2023

 

   

Adjusted EBITDA of at least $15 million

Long-term, the Company continues to expect:

 

   

Net sales of approximately $500 million

 

   

Adjusted gross margin of 35%

 

   

Adjusted EBITDA margin of 15%

In addition, the Company currently expects to reach positive operating cash flow beginning in the fourth quarter of 2023 and to carry that trend forward into 2024.

The Company is not providing guidance for gross margin or net loss, the most directly comparable GAAP measures, and similarly cannot provide a reconciliation between its forecasted adjusted gross margin and GAAP gross margin and adjusted EBITDA and net loss without unreasonable effort due to the unavailability of reliable estimates for certain items. These items are not within the Company’s control, may vary significantly between periods and could significantly impact future financial results. We caution you that these estimates are forward-looking statements and are not guarantees of future performance or outcomes and that actual results may differ materially from those described above. See sections titled “Cautionary Note Regarding Forward-Looking Statements” and “Risk Factors” in the Company’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2022, and other risks and uncertainties listed from time to time in the Company’s other filings with the SEC for additional information regarding factors that could result in differences between these forward-looking statements and are actual results. The Company does not assume any obligation to publicly update or supplement any forward-looking statement to reflect actual results, changes in assumptions or changes in other factors affecting these forward-looking statements other than as required by law. The guidance provided is only an estimate of what the Company believes is realizable as of the date of this report, and any forward-looking statements speak only as of the date hereof.

 

3


Corporate and Market Updates

In addition to the information related to its preliminary estimated third quarter 2023 results and guidance on certain financial information, the Company provides the following corporate updates:

Refrigerated Entrees

 

   

The Company plans to extend further into the refrigerated foods category by expanding into the refrigerated entrees category, following existing demand of its Flautas and Burritos products. According to IRI information, net sales for our Flautas and Burritos products had an annual run rate of $58 million, for the club channel for the 13-week period ended September 30, 2023. In addition, according to IRI information, Flautas and Burritos achieved net sales of $1,715 and $2,002 per club per week for the nine months ended September 30, 2023

 

   

The Company’s sales pipeline for new refrigerated entrée items includes three items in club, which are pending commercialization, and six items in grocery that are already commercialized

 

   

According to SPINS information, the refrigerated entrees category represents a $4 billion market (with the refrigerated proteins sub-category making up approximately $1 billion), which the Company currently believes can provide $50 million in incremental revenue opportunity

Frozen Poultry

 

   

The Company had a successful launch of its Breaded Poultry. According to SPINS information, net sales for our Breaded Poultry products had a run rate of $133 million, for the club and measured channels for the 13-week period ended October 1, 2023, and has the #1 best selling velocity item in the “HWI” Frozen Meat, Poultry & Seafood sector at a large national mass retail customer according to SPINS data for 4-week period ending September 10, 2023

 

   

The Company believes its Breaded Poultry has the potential to be the #3 ranked breaded poultry brand in all commodities volume by the end of 2024; as such, the Company currently believes this will provide a $100 million sales opportunity, as a national mass retailer has indicated it will be putting new the Company’s Seasoned Chicken Breast Nuggets on the shelf in June 2024

Frozen Seafood

 

   

The Company plans to expand into the Frozen Seafood category with RGF Breaded Fish, and possibly to expand Frozen Poultry with RGF Seasoned Nuggets & Strips

 

   

According to SPINS information, net sales for the Frozen Seafood and the Frozen Poultry categories were $7 billion and $7.3 billion market, respectively, for the 52-week period ended September 10, 2023. The Company currently estimates that these markets could each yield an opportunity for at least a $100 million in sales in the future.

 

   

Accordingly, based on the products already on the shelf and the Company’s new products with shipment authorizations, the Company has a strategy to reach $300 million in annual run-rate revenue by the end of 2024 based on the Company’s currently estimated sales for the second half of 2024.

Other Corporate Updates

 

   

The Company has expanded production capacity at its Bolingbrook facility, which, combined with its City of Industry facility, is expected to support $450 million in annual sales.

 

4


Industry and Market Data

This report contains statistical data, estimates, and forecasts that are based on various sources, including independent industry publications and other publicly available information, as well as other information based on the Company’s internal sources. This information involves a number of assumptions and limitations, and you are cautioned not to give undue weight to these data, estimates, and forecasts. The Company has not independently verified the accuracy or completeness of the data contained in these industry publications and other publicly available information. The industry and market data are subject to a variety of risks and uncertainties, including those described in the risk factors in our most recent Annual Report on Form 10-K and any subsequent Quarterly Reports on Form 10-Q or Current Reports on Form 8-K or other filings with the SEC, which could cause results to differ materially from those expressed in these publications and reports. Certain information in the text of this report is from industry data sources and publicly available data and reports, including from SPINS, LLC (“SPINS”) and Information Resources, Inc. (“IRI”), which are independent industry and research organizations. The content of such sources, except to the extent specifically set forth in this report, does not constitute a portion of this report and is not incorporated herein.

About The Real Good Food Company

Real Good Foods (NASDAQ: RGF) is a leading health and wellness frozen foods company, providing a better way to enjoy your favorite foods. The Company’s mission is to provide “Real Food You Feel Good About Eating”, making delicious, nutritious foods that are low in sugar, low in carbohydrates and high in protein. The Real Good Foods family of products includes breakfast, lunch, dinner, and snacks – available in over 16,000 stores nationwide with additional direct-to-consumer options.

To learn more, please visit our website at realgoodfoods.com or join us on social media @realgoodfoods – where we maintain some of the largest followings in the frozen food industry today.

Non-GAAP Financial Measures

In addition to the Company’s financial results determined in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles in the United States (“GAAP”), the Company believes that adjusted gross margin, and adjusted EBITDA, each of which is a non-GAAP financial measure, are useful performance measures and metrics for investors to evaluate current trends in its operations and compare the ongoing financial and operating performance of our business from period to period. In addition, management uses these non-GAAP financial measures to assess our operating performance and for internal planning purposes. The Company also believes these measures are widely used by investors, securities analysts, and other parties in evaluating companies in our industry as measures of financial and operational performance. However, the non-GAAP financial measures included in this press release have limitations and should not be considered in isolation, as substitutes for, or as superior to, performance measures calculated in accordance with GAAP. Other companies may calculate these measures differently, or may not calculate them at all, which limits the usefulness of these measures as comparative measures. Because of these limitations, the Company considers, and you should consider, these non-GAAP financial measures with other operating and financial performance measures presented in accordance with GAAP. To the extent the Company utilizes such non-GAAP financial measures in the future, it expects to calculate them using a consistent method from period to period.

 

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Forward-Looking Statements

This press release contains “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of the safe harbor provisions of the U.S. Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, which statements are subject to considerable risks and uncertainties. Forward-looking statements include all statements other than statements of historical fact contained in this press release, including statements regarding its projected financial results, including net sales, adjusted gross margin, and adjusted EBITDA and its ability to increase production at its new facility, improve profitability and meet its long-term growth objectives. The Company has attempted to identify forward-looking statements by using words such as “believe,” “estimate,” “expect,” “intend,” “may,” “plan,” “predict,” “project,” “should,” “will,” or “would,” and similar expressions or the negative of these expressions.

Forward-looking statements represent management’s current expectations and predictions about trends affecting the Company’s business and industry and are based on information available as of the time such statements are made. Although the Company does not make forward-looking statements unless it believes it has a reasonable basis for doing so, it cannot guarantee their accuracy or completeness. Forward-looking statements involve numerous known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors that may cause its actual results, performance or achievements to be materially different from any future results, performance or achievements predicted, assumed or implied by the forward-looking statements. Some of the risks and uncertainties that may cause its actual results to materially differ from those expressed or implied by these forward-looking statements are described in the section entitled “Risk Factors” in its Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2022.

In addition, readers are cautioned that the Company may make future changes to its business and operations in response to the impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic, supply chain disruptions and macroeconomic challenges, or in response to other business developments, which changes may be inconsistent with the Company’s prior forward-looking statements, and which may not be disclosed in future public announcements.

Investor Relations Contact

Akshay Jagdale

(856) 955-1453

ir@realgoodfoods.com

 

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